
White
DEFBenjamin White · Arsenal · £5.5m · 6.1% owned · 11 pts
🔥 Hot Form⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
2.1
xPts 3
6.4
xPts 5
10.7
Rating
37
WATCHMEDConfidence: LOW
Why we rank White here
- ▸Away vs AVL: we project ARS for 1.97 goals (our difficulty 1.5/5)
- ▸42% start probability, 40 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.08 xG90, 0.10 xA90 (shrunk to 90 mins of data)
- ▸Clean sheet probability GW2: 16%
- ▸Bonus model: 0.13 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 50/100 — Flagged: 100% chance of playing
- ▸10.7 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.5m (1.95 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at AVL
| Appearance points | 0.89 |
| Goal points | 0.30 |
| Assist points | 0.19 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.66 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.13 |
| Goals conceded | -0.02 |
| Cards / other | -0.03 |
| Predicted FPL points | 2.1 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | AVL (A) | 39.5 | 5% | 16% | 2.1 |
| 3 | CHE (H) | 39.5 | 5% | 14% | 2.0 |
| 4 | SUN (A) | 39.5 | 6% | 18% | 2.3 |
| 5 | BHA (A) | 39.5 | 4% | 14% | 1.9 |
| 6 | LEE (H) | 39.5 | 6% | 21% | 2.4 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
2
Ceiling (90th)
6
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)71%
Chance of 5+ points16%
Chance of 10+ points1%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.08
xA90
0.10
xGI90
0.19
BPS90
23.2
DefCon90
6.8
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.20
Minutes
90
Starts
1
Form
11.0
PPM
11.0
G+A vs xGI
+0.6
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | COV (H) | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0.18 | 11 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers