Yarmoliuk
MIDYehor Yarmoliuk · Brentford · £5.0m · 1.2% owned · 1 pts
📉 Fixtures Worsening⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
1.9
xPts 3
5.8
xPts 5
9.5
Rating
32
WATCHMEDConfidence: LOWFIXTURES TURN
Why we rank Yarmoliuk here
- ▸Away vs LEE: we project BRE for 1.25 goals (our difficulty 2.8/5)
- ▸51% start probability, 49 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.07 xG90, 0.06 xA90 (shrunk to 23 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.06 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 45/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸9.5 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.0m (1.89 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at LEE
| Appearance points | 1.47 |
| Goal points | 0.16 |
| Assist points | 0.09 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.15 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.05 |
| Bonus points | 0.06 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.11 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.9 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | LEE (A) | 48.7 | 3% | 15% | 1.9 |
| 3 | SUN (H) | 48.7 | 5% | 19% | 2.0 |
| 4 | BOU (A) | 48.7 | 3% | 12% | 1.9 |
| 5 | CHE (H) | 48.7 | 3% | 10% | 1.8 |
| 6 | AVL (A) | 48.7 | 3% | 14% | 1.9 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
1
Median
2
Ceiling (90th)
3
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)82%
Chance of 5+ points5%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.07
xA90
0.06
xGI90
0.13
BPS90
15.6
DefCon90
11.4
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.39
Minutes
23
Starts
0
Form
1.0
PPM
1.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TOT (H) | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 1 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers