Anthony
MIDJaidon Anthony · Brentford · £6.0m · 0.2% owned · 1 pts
📉 Fixtures Worsening⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
2.4
xPts 3
7.7
xPts 5
12.5
Rating
42
WATCHMEDConfidence: LOWFIXTURES TURN
Why we rank Anthony here
- ▸Away vs LEE: we project BRE for 1.25 goals (our difficulty 2.8/5)
- ▸55% start probability, 52 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.16 xG90, 0.17 xA90 (shrunk to 23 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.11 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 42/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸12.5 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £6.0m (2.08 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at LEE
| Appearance points | 1.52 |
| Goal points | 0.41 |
| Assist points | 0.27 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.17 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.01 |
| Bonus points | 0.11 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.07 |
| Predicted FPL points | 2.4 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | LEE (A) | 51.6 | 8% | 17% | 2.4 |
| 3 | SUN (H) | 51.6 | 12% | 21% | 2.9 |
| 4 | BOU (A) | 51.6 | 8% | 13% | 2.4 |
| 5 | CHE (H) | 51.6 | 8% | 11% | 2.4 |
| 6 | AVL (A) | 51.6 | 8% | 15% | 2.4 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
1
Median
2
Ceiling (90th)
5
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)72%
Chance of 5+ points14%
Chance of 10+ points1%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.16
xA90
0.17
xGI90
0.33
BPS90
17.6
DefCon90
9.1
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.39
Minutes
23
Starts
0
Form
1.0
PPM
1.0
G+A vs xGI
-0.4
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TOT (H) | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 1 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers