Van Hecke
DEFJan Paul van Hecke · Spurs · £5.0m · 9.9% owned · 1 pts
xPts GW
3.0
xPts 3
9.0
xPts 5
14.8
Rating
58
HOLDLOWConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Van Hecke here
- ▸Home vs NEW: we project TOT for 1.44 goals (our difficulty 2.8/5)
- ▸84% start probability, 76 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.07 xG90, 0.05 xA90 (shrunk to 90 mins of data)
- ▸Clean sheet probability GW2: 19%
- ▸Bonus model: 0.16 expected bonus points
- ▸14.8 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.0m (2.96 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs NEW
| Appearance points | 1.63 |
| Goal points | 0.36 |
| Assist points | 0.12 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.78 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.34 |
| Bonus points | 0.16 |
| Goals conceded | -0.28 |
| Cards / other | -0.16 |
| Predicted FPL points | 3.0 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | NEW (H) | 75.8 | 6% | 19% | 3.0 |
| 3 | NFO (A) | 75.8 | 5% | 21% | 2.9 |
| 4 | EVE (H) | 75.8 | 6% | 23% | 3.1 |
| 5 | AVL (H) | 75.8 | 6% | 25% | 3.3 |
| 6 | MUN (A) | 75.8 | 4% | 14% | 2.5 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
1
Median
2
Ceiling (90th)
7
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)57%
Chance of 5+ points26%
Chance of 10+ points2%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.07
xA90
0.05
xGI90
0.12
BPS90
13.9
DefCon90
8.7
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
3.87
Minutes
90
Starts
1
Form
1.0
PPM
1.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BRE (A) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers