F.Kadıoğlu
DEFFerdi Kadıoğlu · Brighton · £4.5m · 2.4% owned · 0 pts
📉 Fixtures Worsening🚑 Availability Risk
⚠️ Unspecified injury - 75% chance of playing
xPts GW
1.1
xPts 3
4.2
xPts 5
6.8
Rating
16
AVOIDHIGHConfidence: LOWFIXTURES TURN
Why we rank F.Kadıoğlu here
- ▸Away vs CHE: we project BHA for 1.12 goals (our difficulty 3.8/5)
- ▸37% start probability, 30 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.06 xG90, 0.09 xA90 (shrunk to 0 mins of data)
- ▸Clean sheet probability GW2: 5%
- ▸Bonus model: 0.04 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 79/100 — Flagged: 75% chance of playing
- ▸6.8 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £4.5m (1.51 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at CHE
| Appearance points | 0.77 |
| Goal points | 0.09 |
| Assist points | 0.07 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.20 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.04 |
| Goals conceded | -0.05 |
| Cards / other | -0.06 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.1 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | CHE (A) | 30.1 | 2% | 5% | 1.1 |
| 3 | LEE (H) | 30.1 | 2% | 14% | 1.6 |
| 4 | COV (A) | 30.1 | 3% | 14% | 1.6 |
| 5 | ARS (H) | 30.1 | 1% | 7% | 1.1 |
| 6 | SUN (A) | 30.1 | 2% | 11% | 1.4 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
0
Ceiling (90th)
2
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)90%
Chance of 5+ points5%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.06
xA90
0.09
xGI90
0.14
BPS90
15.1
DefCon90
5.5
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.00
Minutes
0
Starts
0
Form
0.0
PPM
0.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AVL (H) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers