Saka
MIDBukayo Saka · Arsenal · £9.5m · 10.4% owned · 9 pts
🔥 Hot Form🎯 Penalty Taker🅰️ Creative Threat⚽ Goal Threat🚩 Set Pieces
xPts GW
4.3
xPts 3
13.3
xPts 5
22.1
Rating
76
STRONG BUYMEDConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Saka here
- ▸Away vs AVL: we project ARS for 1.97 goals (our difficulty 1.5/5)
- ▸72% start probability, 49 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.46 xG90, 0.27 xA90 (shrunk to 67 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.53 expected bonus points
- ▸22.1 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £9.5m (2.33 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at AVL
| Appearance points | 1.21 |
| Goal points | 1.79 |
| Assist points | 0.63 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.19 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.53 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.05 |
| Predicted FPL points | 4.3 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | AVL (A) | 49.2 | 30% | 19% | 4.3 |
| 3 | CHE (H) | 49.2 | 30% | 16% | 4.2 |
| 4 | SUN (A) | 49.2 | 34% | 20% | 4.8 |
| 5 | BHA (A) | 49.2 | 26% | 16% | 3.8 |
| 6 | LEE (H) | 49.2 | 35% | 24% | 5.0 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
1
Median
3
Ceiling (90th)
9
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)41%
Chance of 5+ points41%
Chance of 10+ points9%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.46
xA90
0.27
xGI90
0.74
BPS90
26.9
DefCon90
8.0
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.08
Minutes
67
Starts
1
Form
9.0
PPM
9.0
G+A vs xGI
+0.3
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | COV (H) | 67 | 1 | 0 | 0.64 | 9 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers