Gomez
MIDDiego Gómez Amarilla · Brighton · £5.0m · 3.8% owned · 6 pts
🔥 Hot Form📉 Fixtures Worsening
xPts GW
2.1
xPts 3
7.8
xPts 5
12.5
Rating
46
HOLDMEDConfidence: LOWFIXTURES TURN
Why we rank Gomez here
- ▸Away vs CHE: we project BHA for 1.12 goals (our difficulty 3.8/5)
- ▸65% start probability, 56 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.22 xG90, 0.16 xA90 (shrunk to 85 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.13 expected bonus points
- ▸12.5 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.0m (2.50 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at CHE
| Appearance points | 1.29 |
| Goal points | 0.54 |
| Assist points | 0.23 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.09 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.02 |
| Bonus points | 0.13 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.16 |
| Predicted FPL points | 2.1 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | CHE (A) | 56.1 | 10% | 9% | 2.1 |
| 3 | LEE (H) | 56.1 | 15% | 24% | 2.8 |
| 4 | COV (A) | 56.1 | 17% | 24% | 2.9 |
| 5 | ARS (H) | 56.1 | 10% | 12% | 2.1 |
| 6 | SUN (A) | 56.1 | 14% | 19% | 2.6 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
2
Ceiling (90th)
5
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)74%
Chance of 5+ points15%
Chance of 10+ points1%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.22
xA90
0.16
xGI90
0.37
BPS90
17.3
DefCon90
9.1
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.31
Minutes
85
Starts
1
Form
6.0
PPM
6.0
G+A vs xGI
+0.3
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AVL (H) | 85 | 0 | 1 | 0.18 | 6 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers