Ayari
MIDYasin Ayari · Brighton · £5.5m · 0.7% owned · 2 pts
📉 Fixtures Worsening⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
1.3
xPts 3
4.4
xPts 5
7.1
Rating
25
SELLMEDConfidence: LOWFIXTURES TURN
Why we rank Ayari here
- ▸Away vs CHE: we project BHA for 1.12 goals (our difficulty 3.8/5)
- ▸57% start probability, 37 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.13 xG90, 0.07 xA90 (shrunk to 63 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.06 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 41/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸7.1 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.5m (1.29 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at CHE
| Appearance points | 0.98 |
| Goal points | 0.22 |
| Assist points | 0.07 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.05 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.06 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.10 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.3 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | CHE (A) | 36.9 | 4% | 5% | 1.3 |
| 3 | LEE (H) | 36.9 | 6% | 14% | 1.5 |
| 4 | COV (A) | 36.9 | 7% | 14% | 1.6 |
| 5 | ARS (H) | 36.9 | 4% | 7% | 1.3 |
| 6 | SUN (A) | 36.9 | 6% | 12% | 1.5 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
1
Ceiling (90th)
2
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)90%
Chance of 5+ points5%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.13
xA90
0.07
xGI90
0.21
BPS90
16.9
DefCon90
9.3
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.27
Minutes
63
Starts
1
Form
2.0
PPM
2.0
G+A vs xGI
-0.1
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AVL (H) | 63 | 0 | 0 | 0.11 | 2 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers