Rice
MIDDeclan Rice · Arsenal · £7.5m · 17.3% owned · 3 pts
🚩 Set Pieces
xPts GW
2.9
xPts 3
8.8
xPts 5
14.7
Rating
58
HOLDLOWConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Rice here
- ▸Away vs AVL: we project ARS for 1.97 goals (our difficulty 1.5/5)
- ▸86% start probability, 58 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.11 xG90, 0.20 xA90 (shrunk to 67 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.21 expected bonus points
- ▸14.7 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £7.5m (1.95 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at AVL
| Appearance points | 1.40 |
| Goal points | 0.51 |
| Assist points | 0.53 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.22 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.06 |
| Bonus points | 0.21 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.06 |
| Predicted FPL points | 2.9 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | AVL (A) | 57.7 | 10% | 22% | 2.9 |
| 3 | CHE (H) | 57.7 | 10% | 18% | 2.8 |
| 4 | SUN (A) | 57.7 | 11% | 24% | 3.1 |
| 5 | BHA (A) | 57.7 | 8% | 19% | 2.7 |
| 6 | LEE (H) | 57.7 | 12% | 28% | 3.2 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
1
Median
2
Ceiling (90th)
6
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)59%
Chance of 5+ points21%
Chance of 10+ points2%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.11
xA90
0.20
xGI90
0.31
BPS90
20.9
DefCon90
10.1
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.08
Minutes
67
Starts
1
Form
3.0
PPM
3.0
G+A vs xGI
-0.1
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | COV (H) | 67 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | 3 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers