Wieffer
DEFMats Wieffer · Brighton · £5.0m · 0.4% owned · 7 pts
🔥 Hot Form📉 Fixtures Worsening
xPts GW
1.7
xPts 3
7.0
xPts 5
11.3
Rating
41
WATCHMEDConfidence: LOWFIXTURES TURN
Why we rank Wieffer here
- ▸Away vs CHE: we project BHA for 1.12 goals (our difficulty 3.8/5)
- ▸60% start probability, 47 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.08 xG90, 0.08 xA90 (shrunk to 77 mins of data)
- ▸Clean sheet probability GW2: 8%
- ▸Bonus model: 0.11 expected bonus points
- ▸11.3 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.0m (2.25 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at CHE
| Appearance points | 1.20 |
| Goal points | 0.21 |
| Assist points | 0.10 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.32 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.08 |
| Bonus points | 0.11 |
| Goals conceded | -0.16 |
| Cards / other | -0.14 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.7 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | CHE (A) | 47.2 | 4% | 8% | 1.7 |
| 3 | LEE (H) | 47.2 | 5% | 23% | 2.6 |
| 4 | COV (A) | 47.2 | 6% | 22% | 2.7 |
| 5 | ARS (H) | 47.2 | 3% | 11% | 1.9 |
| 6 | SUN (A) | 47.2 | 5% | 18% | 2.4 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
2
Ceiling (90th)
5
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)80%
Chance of 5+ points11%
Chance of 10+ points1%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.08
xA90
0.08
xGI90
0.16
BPS90
21.2
DefCon90
10.8
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.34
Minutes
77
Starts
1
Form
7.0
PPM
7.0
G+A vs xGI
-0.1
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AVL (H) | 77 | 0 | 0 | 0.09 | 7 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers