Kostoulas
FWDCharalampos Kostoulas · Brighton · £5.5m · 0.2% owned · 1 pts
📉 Fixtures Worsening⚠️ Rotation Risk⚽ Goal Threat
xPts GW
1.7
xPts 3
5.9
xPts 5
9.5
Rating
23
AVOIDHIGHConfidence: LOWFIXTURES TURN
Why we rank Kostoulas here
- ▸Away vs CHE: we project BHA for 1.12 goals (our difficulty 3.8/5)
- ▸17% start probability, 30 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.40 xG90, 0.12 xA90 (shrunk to 26 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.07 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 66/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸9.5 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.5m (1.73 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at CHE
| Appearance points | 1.22 |
| Goal points | 0.42 |
| Assist points | 0.10 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.00 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.07 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.08 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.7 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | CHE (A) | 29.7 | 10% | 3% | 1.7 |
| 3 | LEE (H) | 29.7 | 15% | 9% | 2.0 |
| 4 | COV (A) | 29.7 | 16% | 9% | 2.1 |
| 5 | ARS (H) | 29.7 | 9% | 4% | 1.7 |
| 6 | SUN (A) | 29.7 | 14% | 7% | 2.0 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
1
Median
1
Ceiling (90th)
5
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)85%
Chance of 5+ points11%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.40
xA90
0.12
xGI90
0.52
BPS90
20.1
DefCon90
6.2
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.35
Minutes
26
Starts
0
Form
1.0
PPM
1.0
G+A vs xGI
-0.2
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AVL (H) | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0.18 | 1 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers