Sánchez
GKPRobert Lynch Sánchez · Chelsea · £5.0m · 2.3% owned · 2 pts
📈 Fixtures Improving
xPts GW
3.1
xPts 3
9.4
xPts 5
15.7
Rating
63
BUYLOWConfidence: LOWSHORT-TERM BUY
Why we rank Sánchez here
- ▸Home vs BHA: we project CHE for 1.94 goals (our difficulty 1.8/5)
- ▸82% start probability, 74 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.00 xG90, 0.00 xA90 (shrunk to 90 mins of data)
- ▸Clean sheet probability GW2: 25%
- ▸Bonus model: 0.12 expected bonus points
- ▸15.7 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.0m (3.13 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs BHA
| Appearance points | 1.59 |
| Goal points | 0.01 |
| Assist points | 0.02 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.99 |
| Save points | 0.67 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.12 |
| Goals conceded | -0.19 |
| Cards / other | -0.07 |
| Predicted FPL points | 3.1 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | BHA (H) | 73.9 | 0% | 25% | 3.1 |
| 3 | ARS (A) | 73.9 | 0% | 11% | 2.8 |
| 4 | HUL (H) | 73.9 | 0% | 35% | 3.5 |
| 5 | BRE (A) | 73.9 | 0% | 20% | 3.0 |
| 6 | BOU (H) | 73.9 | 0% | 28% | 3.3 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
2
Ceiling (90th)
6
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)70%
Chance of 5+ points22%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.00
xA90
0.00
xGI90
0.01
BPS90
14.0
DefCon90
0.0
Saves90
3.08
xGC90
1.33
Minutes
90
Starts
1
Form
2.0
PPM
2.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FUL (A) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers