Acheampong
DEFJosh Acheampong · Chelsea · £4.5m · 0.3% owned · 3 pts
📈 Fixtures Improving⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
1.5
xPts 3
4.4
xPts 5
7.3
Rating
24
SELLMEDConfidence: LOWSHORT-TERM BUY
Why we rank Acheampong here
- ▸Home vs BHA: we project CHE for 1.94 goals (our difficulty 1.8/5)
- ▸38% start probability, 36 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.05 xG90, 0.04 xA90 (shrunk to 90 mins of data)
- ▸Clean sheet probability GW2: 12%
- ▸Bonus model: 0.06 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 53/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸7.3 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £4.5m (1.63 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs BHA
| Appearance points | 0.81 |
| Goal points | 0.17 |
| Assist points | 0.06 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.46 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.06 |
| Goals conceded | -0.03 |
| Cards / other | -0.05 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.5 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | BHA (H) | 35.5 | 3% | 12% | 1.5 |
| 3 | ARS (A) | 35.5 | 2% | 5% | 1.1 |
| 4 | HUL (H) | 35.5 | 4% | 16% | 1.8 |
| 5 | BRE (A) | 35.5 | 2% | 10% | 1.4 |
| 6 | BOU (H) | 35.5 | 3% | 13% | 1.6 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
1
Ceiling (90th)
4
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)83%
Chance of 5+ points9%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.05
xA90
0.04
xGI90
0.09
BPS90
15.5
DefCon90
8.3
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
1.33
Minutes
90
Starts
1
Form
3.0
PPM
3.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FUL (A) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers