Enzo
MIDEnzo Fernández · Chelsea · £7.0m · 4.8% owned · 1 pts
📈 Fixtures Improving💎 Differential
xPts GW
3.7
xPts 3
10.8
xPts 5
18.2
Rating
62
BUYMEDConfidence: LOWSHORT-TERM BUY
Why we rank Enzo here
- ▸Home vs BHA: we project CHE for 1.94 goals (our difficulty 1.8/5)
- ▸63% start probability, 56 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.28 xG90, 0.20 xA90 (shrunk to 25 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.29 expected bonus points
- ▸18.2 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £7.0m (2.59 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs BHA
| Appearance points | 1.61 |
| Goal points | 1.20 |
| Assist points | 0.51 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.20 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.01 |
| Bonus points | 0.29 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.15 |
| Predicted FPL points | 3.7 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | BHA (H) | 56.3 | 21% | 20% | 3.7 |
| 3 | ARS (A) | 56.3 | 12% | 9% | 2.7 |
| 4 | HUL (H) | 56.3 | 28% | 28% | 4.5 |
| 5 | BRE (A) | 56.3 | 18% | 16% | 3.3 |
| 6 | BOU (H) | 56.3 | 25% | 23% | 4.1 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
1
Median
3
Ceiling (90th)
8
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)50%
Chance of 5+ points32%
Chance of 10+ points5%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.28
xA90
0.20
xGI90
0.47
BPS90
19.8
DefCon90
7.6
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
1.01
Minutes
25
Starts
0
Form
1.0
PPM
1.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FUL (A) | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers