Madueke
MIDNoni Madueke · Arsenal · £6.5m · 0.3% owned · 1 pts
⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
2.1
xPts 3
6.4
xPts 5
10.7
Rating
33
WATCHHIGHConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Madueke here
- ▸Away vs AVL: we project ARS for 1.97 goals (our difficulty 1.5/5)
- ▸31% start probability, 37 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.12 xG90, 0.19 xA90 (shrunk to 22 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.08 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 57/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸10.7 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £6.5m (1.65 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at AVL
| Appearance points | 1.26 |
| Goal points | 0.33 |
| Assist points | 0.33 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.14 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.08 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.02 |
| Predicted FPL points | 2.1 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | AVL (A) | 36.5 | 6% | 14% | 2.1 |
| 3 | CHE (H) | 36.5 | 6% | 12% | 2.1 |
| 4 | SUN (A) | 36.5 | 7% | 15% | 2.2 |
| 5 | BHA (A) | 36.5 | 5% | 12% | 2.0 |
| 6 | LEE (H) | 36.5 | 8% | 18% | 2.3 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
1
Median
2
Ceiling (90th)
5
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)77%
Chance of 5+ points11%
Chance of 10+ points1%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.12
xA90
0.19
xGI90
0.31
BPS90
18.7
DefCon90
6.7
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.61
Minutes
22
Starts
0
Form
1.0
PPM
1.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | COV (H) | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers