Andrey Santos
MIDAndrey Nascimento dos Santos · Man Utd · £5.0m · 1.0% owned · 2 pts
⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
1.4
xPts 3
3.6
xPts 5
6.2
Rating
20
SELLMEDConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Andrey Santos here
- ▸Home vs IPS: we project MUN for 2.14 goals (our difficulty 1.3/5)
- ▸45% start probability, 31 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.11 xG90, 0.12 xA90 (shrunk to 66 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.06 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 48/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸6.2 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.0m (1.23 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs IPS
| Appearance points | 0.81 |
| Goal points | 0.30 |
| Assist points | 0.18 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.12 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.06 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.07 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.4 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | IPS (H) | 31.2 | 6% | 12% | 1.4 |
| 3 | EVE (A) | 31.2 | 3% | 8% | 1.1 |
| 4 | MCI (H) | 31.2 | 3% | 6% | 1.1 |
| 5 | FUL (A) | 31.2 | 4% | 8% | 1.2 |
| 6 | TOT (H) | 31.2 | 5% | 11% | 1.3 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
1
Ceiling (90th)
3
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)84%
Chance of 5+ points8%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.11
xA90
0.12
xGI90
0.23
BPS90
17.6
DefCon90
9.4
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
1.28
Minutes
66
Starts
1
Form
2.0
PPM
2.0
G+A vs xGI
-0.2
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HUL (A) | 66 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers