Henderson
GKPDean Henderson · Crystal Palace · £5.0m · 1.9% owned · 2 pts
xPts GW
2.8
xPts 3
9.1
xPts 5
15.3
Rating
60
BUYLOWConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Henderson here
- ▸Home vs MCI: we project CRY for 0.94 goals (our difficulty 4.0/5)
- ▸86% start probability, 78 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.00 xG90, 0.00 xA90 (shrunk to 90 mins of data)
- ▸Clean sheet probability GW2: 12%
- ▸Bonus model: 0.11 expected bonus points
- ▸15.4 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.0m (3.07 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs MCI
| Appearance points | 1.66 |
| Goal points | 0.01 |
| Assist points | 0.01 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.47 |
| Save points | 1.13 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.11 |
| Goals conceded | -0.46 |
| Cards / other | -0.10 |
| Predicted FPL points | 2.8 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | MCI (H) | 77.5 | 0% | 12% | 2.8 |
| 3 | FUL (A) | 77.5 | 0% | 16% | 2.9 |
| 4 | IPS (H) | 77.5 | 0% | 29% | 3.3 |
| 5 | LEE (A) | 77.5 | 0% | 20% | 3.0 |
| 6 | NFO (H) | 77.5 | 0% | 27% | 3.3 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
1
Median
3
Ceiling (90th)
6
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)18%
Chance of 5+ points14%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.00
xA90
0.00
xGI90
0.00
BPS90
15.0
DefCon90
0.0
Saves90
2.88
xGC90
1.12
Minutes
90
Starts
1
Form
2.0
PPM
2.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EVE (A) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers