Richards
DEFChris Richards · Crystal Palace · £5.0m · 0.7% owned · 3 pts
xPts GW
2.2
xPts 3
8.1
xPts 5
14.0
Rating
53
HOLDMEDConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Richards here
- ▸Home vs MCI: we project CRY for 0.94 goals (our difficulty 4.0/5)
- ▸75% start probability, 68 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.06 xG90, 0.04 xA90 (shrunk to 90 mins of data)
- ▸Clean sheet probability GW2: 10%
- ▸Bonus model: 0.11 expected bonus points
- ▸14.0 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.0m (2.80 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs MCI
| Appearance points | 1.47 |
| Goal points | 0.18 |
| Assist points | 0.07 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.41 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.43 |
| Bonus points | 0.11 |
| Goals conceded | -0.33 |
| Cards / other | -0.08 |
| Predicted FPL points | 2.2 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | MCI (H) | 67.9 | 3% | 10% | 2.2 |
| 3 | FUL (A) | 67.9 | 4% | 14% | 2.6 |
| 4 | IPS (H) | 67.9 | 6% | 25% | 3.3 |
| 5 | LEE (A) | 67.9 | 3% | 18% | 2.7 |
| 6 | NFO (H) | 67.9 | 4% | 24% | 3.1 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
2
Ceiling (90th)
6
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)67%
Chance of 5+ points14%
Chance of 10+ points1%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.06
xA90
0.04
xGI90
0.10
BPS90
14.7
DefCon90
10.5
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
1.12
Minutes
90
Starts
1
Form
3.0
PPM
3.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EVE (A) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers