Canvot
DEFJaydee Canvot · Crystal Palace · £5.0m · 0.3% owned · 1 pts
⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
1.3
xPts 3
4.7
xPts 5
8.1
Rating
26
SELLMEDConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Canvot here
- ▸Home vs MCI: we project CRY for 0.94 goals (our difficulty 4.0/5)
- ▸47% start probability, 43 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.08 xG90, 0.03 xA90 (shrunk to 90 mins of data)
- ▸Clean sheet probability GW2: 6%
- ▸Bonus model: 0.06 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 47/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸8.1 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.0m (1.62 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs MCI
| Appearance points | 0.97 |
| Goal points | 0.15 |
| Assist points | 0.03 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.26 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.02 |
| Bonus points | 0.06 |
| Goals conceded | -0.11 |
| Cards / other | -0.07 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.3 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | MCI (H) | 43.3 | 2% | 6% | 1.3 |
| 3 | FUL (A) | 43.3 | 3% | 9% | 1.5 |
| 4 | IPS (H) | 43.3 | 5% | 16% | 1.9 |
| 5 | LEE (A) | 43.3 | 3% | 11% | 1.6 |
| 6 | NFO (H) | 43.3 | 4% | 15% | 1.8 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
2
Ceiling (90th)
4
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)88%
Chance of 5+ points7%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.08
xA90
0.03
xGI90
0.11
BPS90
14.4
DefCon90
9.5
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
1.12
Minutes
90
Starts
1
Form
1.0
PPM
1.0
G+A vs xGI
-0.1
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EVE (A) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | 1 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers