Mitchell
DEFTyrick Mitchell · Crystal Palace · £4.5m · 5.8% owned · 1 pts
xPts GW
2.0
xPts 3
7.4
xPts 5
12.9
Rating
52
HOLDLOWConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Mitchell here
- ▸Home vs MCI: we project CRY for 0.94 goals (our difficulty 4.0/5)
- ▸83% start probability, 75 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.04 xG90, 0.06 xA90 (shrunk to 90 mins of data)
- ▸Clean sheet probability GW2: 11%
- ▸Bonus model: 0.11 expected bonus points
- ▸12.9 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £4.5m (2.86 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs MCI
| Appearance points | 1.62 |
| Goal points | 0.13 |
| Assist points | 0.10 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.45 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.09 |
| Bonus points | 0.11 |
| Goals conceded | -0.43 |
| Cards / other | -0.11 |
| Predicted FPL points | 2.0 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | MCI (H) | 75.3 | 2% | 11% | 2.0 |
| 3 | FUL (A) | 75.3 | 3% | 16% | 2.3 |
| 4 | IPS (H) | 75.3 | 4% | 28% | 3.1 |
| 5 | LEE (A) | 75.3 | 2% | 20% | 2.5 |
| 6 | NFO (H) | 75.3 | 3% | 26% | 3.0 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
-1
Median
1
Ceiling (90th)
5
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)80%
Chance of 5+ points11%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.04
xA90
0.06
xGI90
0.09
BPS90
13.3
DefCon90
6.6
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
1.12
Minutes
90
Starts
1
Form
1.0
PPM
1.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EVE (A) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers