Johnson
MIDBrennan Johnson · Everton · £6.0m · 0.2% owned · 1 pts
⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
1.1
xPts 3
3.5
xPts 5
6.0
Rating
16
SELLMEDConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Johnson here
- ▸Away vs BOU: we project EVE for 1.23 goals (our difficulty 3.1/5)
- ▸34% start probability, 30 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.13 xG90, 0.09 xA90 (shrunk to 6 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.04 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 55/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸6.0 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £6.0m (1.01 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at BOU
| Appearance points | 0.83 |
| Goal points | 0.19 |
| Assist points | 0.08 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.08 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.04 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.08 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.1 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | BOU (A) | 29.8 | 4% | 8% | 1.1 |
| 3 | MUN (H) | 29.8 | 4% | 10% | 1.2 |
| 4 | TOT (A) | 29.8 | 4% | 8% | 1.1 |
| 5 | IPS (H) | 29.8 | 6% | 13% | 1.4 |
| 6 | HUL (A) | 29.8 | 4% | 11% | 1.2 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
1
Ceiling (90th)
2
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)90%
Chance of 5+ points5%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.13
xA90
0.09
xGI90
0.23
BPS90
13.4
DefCon90
7.4
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
4.35
Minutes
6
Starts
0
Form
1.0
PPM
1.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CRY (H) | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers