Wharton
MIDAdam Wharton · Crystal Palace · £5.5m · 0.9% owned · 4 pts
🚩 Set Pieces
xPts GW
2.2
xPts 3
7.4
xPts 5
12.3
Rating
45
HOLDMEDConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Wharton here
- ▸Home vs MCI: we project CRY for 0.94 goals (our difficulty 4.0/5)
- ▸72% start probability, 65 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.06 xG90, 0.23 xA90 (shrunk to 90 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.13 expected bonus points
- ▸12.3 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.5m (2.24 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs MCI
| Appearance points | 1.41 |
| Goal points | 0.15 |
| Assist points | 0.34 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.10 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.15 |
| Bonus points | 0.13 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.09 |
| Predicted FPL points | 2.2 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | MCI (H) | 65.2 | 3% | 10% | 2.2 |
| 3 | FUL (A) | 65.2 | 4% | 14% | 2.4 |
| 4 | IPS (H) | 65.2 | 5% | 24% | 2.8 |
| 5 | LEE (A) | 65.2 | 3% | 17% | 2.3 |
| 6 | NFO (H) | 65.2 | 4% | 23% | 2.6 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
2
Ceiling (90th)
5
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)72%
Chance of 5+ points12%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.06
xA90
0.23
xGI90
0.29
BPS90
17.7
DefCon90
10.8
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
1.12
Minutes
90
Starts
1
Form
4.0
PPM
4.0
G+A vs xGI
-0.2
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EVE (A) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 4 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers