Mateta
FWDJean-Philippe Mateta · Crystal Palace · £6.5m · 5.4% owned · 2 pts
🎯 Penalty Taker⚽ Goal Threat
xPts GW
2.1
xPts 3
7.6
xPts 5
12.4
Rating
43
WATCHMEDConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Mateta here
- ▸Home vs MCI: we project CRY for 0.94 goals (our difficulty 4.0/5)
- ▸67% start probability, 42 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.68 xG90, 0.08 xA90 (shrunk to 62 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.10 expected bonus points
- ▸12.4 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £6.5m (1.91 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs MCI
| Appearance points | 1.12 |
| Goal points | 0.85 |
| Assist points | 0.07 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.00 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.10 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.04 |
| Predicted FPL points | 2.1 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | MCI (H) | 42.2 | 19% | 6% | 2.1 |
| 3 | FUL (A) | 42.2 | 25% | 9% | 2.5 |
| 4 | IPS (H) | 42.2 | 33% | 15% | 3.0 |
| 5 | LEE (A) | 42.2 | 22% | 11% | 2.3 |
| 6 | NFO (H) | 42.2 | 27% | 14% | 2.6 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
2
Ceiling (90th)
5
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)76%
Chance of 5+ points16%
Chance of 10+ points1%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.68
xA90
0.08
xGI90
0.75
BPS90
13.9
DefCon90
5.2
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
1.42
Minutes
62
Starts
1
Form
2.0
PPM
2.0
G+A vs xGI
-0.7
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EVE (A) | 62 | 0 | 0 | 0.70 | 2 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers