Nketiah
FWDEddie Nketiah · Crystal Palace · £5.5m · 0.5% owned · 1 pts
⚠️ Rotation Risk⚽ Goal Threat
xPts GW
1.1
xPts 3
3.7
xPts 5
6.2
Rating
17
SELLMEDConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Nketiah here
- ▸Home vs MCI: we project CRY for 0.94 goals (our difficulty 4.0/5)
- ▸38% start probability, 23 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.41 xG90, 0.22 xA90 (shrunk to 55 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.05 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 52/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸6.2 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.5m (1.12 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs MCI
| Appearance points | 0.70 |
| Goal points | 0.28 |
| Assist points | 0.11 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.00 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.05 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.05 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.1 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | MCI (H) | 22.5 | 7% | 4% | 1.1 |
| 3 | FUL (A) | 22.5 | 9% | 5% | 1.2 |
| 4 | IPS (H) | 22.5 | 12% | 9% | 1.4 |
| 5 | LEE (A) | 22.5 | 8% | 6% | 1.1 |
| 6 | NFO (H) | 22.5 | 10% | 8% | 1.3 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
1
Ceiling (90th)
3
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)89%
Chance of 5+ points4%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.41
xA90
0.22
xGI90
0.63
BPS90
18.0
DefCon90
5.6
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
1.37
Minutes
55
Starts
1
Form
1.0
PPM
1.0
G+A vs xGI
-1.2
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EVE (A) | 55 | 0 | 0 | 0.60 | 1 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers