Keane
DEFMichael Keane · Everton · £5.0m · 1.5% owned · 0 pts
⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
1.6
xPts 3
5.0
xPts 5
9.0
Rating
30
SELLMEDConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Keane here
- ▸Away vs BOU: we project EVE for 1.23 goals (our difficulty 3.1/5)
- ▸49% start probability, 39 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.07 xG90, 0.03 xA90 (shrunk to 0 mins of data)
- ▸Clean sheet probability GW2: 11%
- ▸Bonus model: 0.06 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 46/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸9.0 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.0m (1.80 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at BOU
| Appearance points | 1.00 |
| Goal points | 0.17 |
| Assist points | 0.03 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.43 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.01 |
| Bonus points | 0.06 |
| Goals conceded | -0.06 |
| Cards / other | -0.03 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.6 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | BOU (A) | 39.3 | 3% | 11% | 1.6 |
| 3 | MUN (H) | 39.3 | 3% | 14% | 1.8 |
| 4 | TOT (A) | 39.3 | 3% | 12% | 1.6 |
| 5 | IPS (H) | 39.3 | 4% | 18% | 2.1 |
| 6 | HUL (A) | 39.3 | 3% | 15% | 1.8 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
2
Ceiling (90th)
4
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)83%
Chance of 5+ points10%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.07
xA90
0.03
xGI90
0.10
BPS90
14.8
DefCon90
9.7
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.00
Minutes
0
Starts
0
Form
0.0
PPM
0.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CRY (H) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers