O'Brien
DEFJake O'Brien · Everton · £5.0m · 0.5% owned · 0 pts
xPts GW
1.8
xPts 3
5.6
xPts 5
10.0
Rating
37
WATCHMEDConfidence: LOW
Why we rank O'Brien here
- ▸Away vs BOU: we project EVE for 1.23 goals (our difficulty 3.1/5)
- ▸60% start probability, 48 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.05 xG90, 0.04 xA90 (shrunk to 0 mins of data)
- ▸Clean sheet probability GW2: 13%
- ▸Bonus model: 0.06 expected bonus points
- ▸10.0 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.0m (2.00 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at BOU
| Appearance points | 1.20 |
| Goal points | 0.14 |
| Assist points | 0.05 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.53 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.01 |
| Bonus points | 0.06 |
| Goals conceded | -0.10 |
| Cards / other | -0.09 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.8 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | BOU (A) | 47.5 | 2% | 13% | 1.8 |
| 3 | MUN (H) | 47.5 | 3% | 16% | 2.0 |
| 4 | TOT (A) | 47.5 | 2% | 14% | 1.8 |
| 5 | IPS (H) | 47.5 | 4% | 23% | 2.4 |
| 6 | HUL (A) | 47.5 | 3% | 18% | 2.1 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
2
Ceiling (90th)
5
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)81%
Chance of 5+ points12%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.05
xA90
0.04
xGI90
0.09
BPS90
12.0
DefCon90
6.8
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.00
Minutes
0
Starts
0
Form
0.0
PPM
0.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CRY (H) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers