
Ndiaye
MIDIliman Ndiaye · Everton · £6.0m · 16.1% owned · 9 pts
🔥 Hot Form🎯 Penalty Taker
xPts GW
3.4
xPts 3
10.4
xPts 5
18.8
Rating
68
BUYLOWConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Ndiaye here
- ▸Away vs BOU: we project EVE for 1.23 goals (our difficulty 3.1/5)
- ▸78% start probability, 71 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.29 xG90, 0.17 xA90 (shrunk to 90 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.32 expected bonus points
- ▸18.8 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £6.0m (3.13 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at BOU
| Appearance points | 1.52 |
| Goal points | 0.99 |
| Assist points | 0.36 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.17 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.12 |
| Bonus points | 0.32 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.06 |
| Predicted FPL points | 3.4 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | BOU (A) | 70.5 | 18% | 17% | 3.4 |
| 3 | MUN (H) | 70.5 | 19% | 21% | 3.6 |
| 4 | TOT (A) | 70.5 | 17% | 18% | 3.4 |
| 5 | IPS (H) | 70.5 | 27% | 29% | 4.5 |
| 6 | HUL (A) | 70.5 | 21% | 23% | 3.8 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
1
Median
2
Ceiling (90th)
7
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)51%
Chance of 5+ points28%
Chance of 10+ points4%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.29
xA90
0.17
xGI90
0.46
BPS90
20.4
DefCon90
9.5
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
1.96
Minutes
90
Starts
1
Form
9.0
PPM
9.0
G+A vs xGI
+0.4
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CRY (H) | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0.24 | 9 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers