Grealish
MIDJack Grealish · Man City · £6.5m · 0.2% owned · 1 pts
⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
1.6
xPts 3
5.0
xPts 5
8.2
Rating
25
SELLMEDConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Grealish here
- ▸Away vs CRY: we project MCI for 1.91 goals (our difficulty 1.7/5)
- ▸34% start probability, 31 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.13 xG90, 0.17 xA90 (shrunk to 8 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.06 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 55/100 — Flagged: 100% chance of playing
- ▸8.2 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £6.5m (1.26 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at CRY
| Appearance points | 0.88 |
| Goal points | 0.30 |
| Assist points | 0.24 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.13 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.06 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.05 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.6 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | CRY (A) | 30.7 | 6% | 13% | 1.6 |
| 3 | COV (H) | 30.7 | 10% | 19% | 2.0 |
| 4 | MUN (A) | 30.7 | 5% | 11% | 1.4 |
| 5 | SUN (H) | 30.7 | 8% | 16% | 1.9 |
| 6 | LIV (A) | 30.7 | 4% | 7% | 1.3 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
1
Ceiling (90th)
4
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)81%
Chance of 5+ points9%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.13
xA90
0.17
xGI90
0.30
BPS90
18.7
DefCon90
7.9
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.00
Minutes
8
Starts
0
Form
1.0
PPM
1.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BOU (H) | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers