
Hackney
MIDHayden Hackney · Everton · £5.5m · 0.3% owned · 3 pts
⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
1.3
xPts 3
4.0
xPts 5
7.0
Rating
22
SELLMEDConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Hackney here
- ▸Away vs BOU: we project EVE for 1.23 goals (our difficulty 3.1/5)
- ▸44% start probability, 36 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.11 xG90, 0.11 xA90 (shrunk to 78 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.05 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 49/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸7.0 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.5m (1.27 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at BOU
| Appearance points | 0.91 |
| Goal points | 0.19 |
| Assist points | 0.12 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.10 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.05 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.05 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.3 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | BOU (A) | 35.5 | 4% | 10% | 1.3 |
| 3 | MUN (H) | 35.5 | 4% | 12% | 1.4 |
| 4 | TOT (A) | 35.5 | 4% | 10% | 1.3 |
| 5 | IPS (H) | 35.5 | 6% | 17% | 1.6 |
| 6 | HUL (A) | 35.5 | 4% | 13% | 1.4 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
1
Ceiling (90th)
3
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)87%
Chance of 5+ points6%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.11
xA90
0.11
xGI90
0.22
BPS90
15.5
DefCon90
8.4
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
1.87
Minutes
78
Starts
1
Form
3.0
PPM
3.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CRY (H) | 78 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 3 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers