Beto
FWDNorberto Bercique Gomes Betuncal · Everton · £5.5m · 2.5% owned · 1 pts
⚠️ Rotation Risk⚽ Goal Threat
xPts GW
1.5
xPts 3
4.5
xPts 5
7.9
Rating
21
SELLHIGHConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Beto here
- ▸Away vs BOU: we project EVE for 1.23 goals (our difficulty 3.1/5)
- ▸30% start probability, 30 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.44 xG90, 0.05 xA90 (shrunk to 11 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.07 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 58/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸7.9 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.5m (1.44 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at BOU
| Appearance points | 0.92 |
| Goal points | 0.51 |
| Assist points | 0.05 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.00 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.07 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.05 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.5 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | BOU (A) | 29.6 | 12% | 7% | 1.5 |
| 3 | MUN (H) | 29.6 | 13% | 9% | 1.5 |
| 4 | TOT (A) | 29.6 | 12% | 8% | 1.5 |
| 5 | IPS (H) | 29.6 | 19% | 12% | 1.9 |
| 6 | HUL (A) | 29.6 | 14% | 10% | 1.6 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
1
Ceiling (90th)
4
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)85%
Chance of 5+ points9%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.44
xA90
0.05
xGI90
0.50
BPS90
18.6
DefCon90
4.8
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
2.78
Minutes
11
Starts
0
Form
1.0
PPM
1.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CRY (H) | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | 1 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers