Barry
FWDThierno Barry · Everton · £5.5m · 2.5% owned · 8 pts
🔥 Hot Form⚽ Goal Threat
xPts GW
2.0
xPts 3
6.2
xPts 5
10.9
Rating
39
WATCHMEDConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Barry here
- ▸Away vs BOU: we project EVE for 1.23 goals (our difficulty 3.1/5)
- ▸58% start probability, 47 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.39 xG90, 0.06 xA90 (shrunk to 78 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.13 expected bonus points
- ▸10.9 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.5m (1.98 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at BOU
| Appearance points | 1.17 |
| Goal points | 0.71 |
| Assist points | 0.09 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.00 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.13 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.06 |
| Predicted FPL points | 2.0 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | BOU (A) | 46.5 | 16% | 13% | 2.0 |
| 3 | MUN (H) | 46.5 | 18% | 16% | 2.1 |
| 4 | TOT (A) | 46.5 | 16% | 14% | 2.0 |
| 5 | IPS (H) | 46.5 | 25% | 22% | 2.6 |
| 6 | HUL (A) | 46.5 | 19% | 18% | 2.2 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
2
Ceiling (90th)
6
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)77%
Chance of 5+ points13%
Chance of 10+ points1%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.39
xA90
0.06
xGI90
0.45
BPS90
19.0
DefCon90
3.8
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
1.87
Minutes
78
Starts
1
Form
8.0
PPM
8.0
G+A vs xGI
+0.5
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CRY (H) | 78 | 1 | 0 | 0.45 | 8 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers