Leno
GKPBernd Leno · Fulham · £4.5m · 3.0% owned · 2 pts
📈 Fixtures Improving💰 Great Value
xPts GW
2.9
xPts 3
8.8
xPts 5
14.7
Rating
59
HOLDLOWConfidence: LOWSELL AFTER GW4
Why we rank Leno here
- ▸Away vs SUN: we project FUL for 1.46 goals (our difficulty 2.9/5)
- ▸87% start probability, 79 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.00 xG90, 0.00 xA90 (shrunk to 90 mins of data)
- ▸Clean sheet probability GW2: 17%
- ▸Bonus model: 0.12 expected bonus points
- ▸14.7 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £4.5m (3.26 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at SUN
| Appearance points | 1.69 |
| Goal points | 0.01 |
| Assist points | 0.01 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.68 |
| Save points | 0.86 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.12 |
| Goals conceded | -0.35 |
| Cards / other | -0.07 |
| Predicted FPL points | 2.9 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | SUN (A) | 78.5 | 0% | 17% | 2.9 |
| 3 | CRY (H) | 78.5 | 0% | 23% | 3.1 |
| 4 | LIV (A) | 78.5 | 0% | 5% | 2.7 |
| 5 | MUN (H) | 78.5 | 0% | 17% | 2.9 |
| 6 | IPS (A) | 78.5 | 0% | 18% | 3.0 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
1
Median
2
Ceiling (90th)
6
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)77%
Chance of 5+ points16%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.00
xA90
0.00
xGI90
0.00
BPS90
14.4
DefCon90
0.0
Saves90
2.69
xGC90
2.24
Minutes
90
Starts
1
Form
2.0
PPM
2.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CHE (H) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers