Andersen
DEFJoachim Andersen · Fulham · £5.0m · 0.1% owned · 0 pts
📈 Fixtures Improving⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
1.7
xPts 3
4.8
xPts 5
8.2
Rating
28
SELLMEDConfidence: LOWSELL AFTER GW4
Why we rank Andersen here
- ▸Away vs SUN: we project FUL for 1.46 goals (our difficulty 2.9/5)
- ▸56% start probability, 45 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.05 xG90, 0.06 xA90 (shrunk to 0 mins of data)
- ▸Clean sheet probability GW2: 11%
- ▸Bonus model: 0.07 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 42/100 — Flagged: 100% chance of playing
- ▸8.2 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.0m (1.64 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at SUN
| Appearance points | 1.13 |
| Goal points | 0.15 |
| Assist points | 0.09 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.44 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.03 |
| Bonus points | 0.07 |
| Goals conceded | -0.10 |
| Cards / other | -0.10 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.7 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | SUN (A) | 44.6 | 2% | 11% | 1.7 |
| 3 | CRY (H) | 44.6 | 3% | 15% | 1.9 |
| 4 | LIV (A) | 44.6 | 2% | 3% | 1.1 |
| 5 | MUN (H) | 44.6 | 2% | 11% | 1.7 |
| 6 | IPS (A) | 44.6 | 3% | 12% | 1.8 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
2
Ceiling (90th)
5
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)81%
Chance of 5+ points11%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.05
xA90
0.06
xGI90
0.11
BPS90
14.1
DefCon90
9.6
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.00
Minutes
0
Starts
0
Form
0.0
PPM
0.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CHE (H) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers