J.Cuenca
DEFJorge Cuenca Barreno · Fulham · £4.5m · 0.0% owned · 3 pts
📈 Fixtures Improving⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
1.2
xPts 3
3.3
xPts 5
5.8
Rating
16
SELLMEDConfidence: LOWSELL AFTER GW4
Why we rank J.Cuenca here
- ▸Away vs SUN: we project FUL for 1.46 goals (our difficulty 2.9/5)
- ▸41% start probability, 38 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.02 xG90, 0.05 xA90 (shrunk to 90 mins of data)
- ▸Clean sheet probability GW2: 8%
- ▸Bonus model: 0.05 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 51/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸5.8 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £4.5m (1.28 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at SUN
| Appearance points | 0.86 |
| Goal points | 0.06 |
| Assist points | 0.07 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.33 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.01 |
| Bonus points | 0.05 |
| Goals conceded | -0.06 |
| Cards / other | -0.13 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.2 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | SUN (A) | 38.3 | 1% | 8% | 1.2 |
| 3 | CRY (H) | 38.3 | 1% | 11% | 1.3 |
| 4 | LIV (A) | 38.3 | 1% | 2% | 0.8 |
| 5 | MUN (H) | 38.3 | 1% | 8% | 1.2 |
| 6 | IPS (A) | 38.3 | 1% | 9% | 1.2 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
1
Ceiling (90th)
4
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)87%
Chance of 5+ points6%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.02
xA90
0.05
xGI90
0.07
BPS90
14.0
DefCon90
9.5
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
2.24
Minutes
90
Starts
1
Form
3.0
PPM
3.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CHE (H) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers