
Bassey
DEFCalvin Bassey · Fulham · £4.5m · 0.8% owned · 0 pts
📈 Fixtures Improving
xPts GW
1.9
xPts 3
5.1
xPts 5
8.9
Rating
34
WATCHMEDConfidence: LOWSELL AFTER GW4
Why we rank Bassey here
- ▸Away vs SUN: we project FUL for 1.46 goals (our difficulty 2.9/5)
- ▸68% start probability, 62 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.05 xG90, 0.02 xA90 (shrunk to 90 mins of data)
- ▸Clean sheet probability GW2: 14%
- ▸Bonus model: 0.08 expected bonus points
- ▸8.9 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £4.5m (1.97 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at SUN
| Appearance points | 1.35 |
| Goal points | 0.22 |
| Assist points | 0.05 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.54 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.03 |
| Bonus points | 0.08 |
| Goals conceded | -0.20 |
| Cards / other | -0.22 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.9 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | SUN (A) | 62.3 | 4% | 14% | 1.9 |
| 3 | CRY (H) | 62.3 | 4% | 18% | 2.1 |
| 4 | LIV (A) | 62.3 | 2% | 4% | 1.1 |
| 5 | MUN (H) | 62.3 | 3% | 14% | 1.8 |
| 6 | IPS (A) | 62.3 | 4% | 15% | 1.9 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
2
Ceiling (90th)
6
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)78%
Chance of 5+ points15%
Chance of 10+ points1%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.05
xA90
0.02
xGI90
0.08
BPS90
12.1
DefCon90
6.8
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
2.24
Minutes
90
Starts
1
Form
0.0
PPM
0.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CHE (H) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 0 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers