Havertz
FWDKai Havertz · Arsenal · £7.5m · 7.2% owned · 6 pts
🔥 Hot Form⚠️ Rotation Risk⚽ Goal Threat
xPts GW
2.9
xPts 3
8.8
xPts 5
14.7
Rating
49
HOLDMEDConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Havertz here
- ▸Away vs AVL: we project ARS for 1.97 goals (our difficulty 1.5/5)
- ▸49% start probability, 45 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.46 xG90, 0.14 xA90 (shrunk to 90 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.30 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 46/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸14.6 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £7.5m (1.95 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at AVL
| Appearance points | 1.01 |
| Goal points | 1.31 |
| Assist points | 0.29 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.00 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.30 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.06 |
| Predicted FPL points | 2.9 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | AVL (A) | 45.3 | 28% | 19% | 2.9 |
| 3 | CHE (H) | 45.3 | 28% | 16% | 2.8 |
| 4 | SUN (A) | 45.3 | 32% | 20% | 3.2 |
| 5 | BHA (A) | 45.3 | 24% | 16% | 2.5 |
| 6 | LEE (H) | 45.3 | 33% | 24% | 3.3 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
2
Ceiling (90th)
6
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)58%
Chance of 5+ points25%
Chance of 10+ points3%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.46
xA90
0.14
xGI90
0.60
BPS90
23.2
DefCon90
4.2
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.20
Minutes
90
Starts
1
Form
6.0
PPM
6.0
G+A vs xGI
+0.7
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | COV (H) | 90 | 1 | 0 | 0.26 | 6 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers