Wilson
MIDHarry Wilson · Leeds · £6.5m · 5.9% owned · 3 pts
🚩 Set Pieces
xPts GW
2.0
xPts 3
6.0
xPts 5
9.8
Rating
36
WATCHLOWConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Wilson here
- ▸Home vs BRE: we project LEE for 1.18 goals (our difficulty 2.9/5)
- ▸78% start probability, 51 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.16 xG90, 0.14 xA90 (shrunk to 65 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.11 expected bonus points
- ▸9.8 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £6.5m (1.51 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs BRE
| Appearance points | 1.30 |
| Goal points | 0.40 |
| Assist points | 0.21 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.14 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.11 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.11 |
| Predicted FPL points | 2.0 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | BRE (H) | 51.4 | 8% | 14% | 2.0 |
| 3 | BHA (A) | 51.4 | 6% | 9% | 1.8 |
| 4 | NEW (H) | 51.4 | 8% | 12% | 2.1 |
| 5 | CRY (H) | 51.4 | 9% | 17% | 2.2 |
| 6 | ARS (A) | 51.4 | 4% | 5% | 1.6 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
2
Ceiling (90th)
5
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)76%
Chance of 5+ points12%
Chance of 10+ points1%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.16
xA90
0.14
xGI90
0.31
BPS90
19.0
DefCon90
6.1
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.73
Minutes
65
Starts
1
Form
3.0
PPM
3.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NFO (A) | 65 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers