Berge
MIDSander Berge · Fulham · £5.0m · 0.4% owned · 2 pts
📈 Fixtures Improving
xPts GW
1.8
xPts 3
5.1
xPts 5
8.6
Rating
35
WATCHLOWConfidence: LOWSELL AFTER GW4
Why we rank Berge here
- ▸Away vs SUN: we project FUL for 1.46 goals (our difficulty 2.9/5)
- ▸80% start probability, 58 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.06 xG90, 0.06 xA90 (shrunk to 72 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.08 expected bonus points
- ▸8.6 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.0m (1.73 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at SUN
| Appearance points | 1.32 |
| Goal points | 0.20 |
| Assist points | 0.12 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.11 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.01 |
| Bonus points | 0.08 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.08 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.8 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | SUN (A) | 57.8 | 4% | 11% | 1.8 |
| 3 | CRY (H) | 57.8 | 4% | 14% | 1.8 |
| 4 | LIV (A) | 57.8 | 2% | 3% | 1.6 |
| 5 | MUN (H) | 57.8 | 4% | 11% | 1.7 |
| 6 | IPS (A) | 57.8 | 4% | 11% | 1.8 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
2
Ceiling (90th)
3
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)84%
Chance of 5+ points6%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.06
xA90
0.06
xGI90
0.12
BPS90
15.6
DefCon90
8.1
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
2.76
Minutes
72
Starts
1
Form
2.0
PPM
2.0
G+A vs xGI
-0.1
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CHE (H) | 72 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 2 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers