King
MIDJosh King · Fulham · £5.5m · 0.5% owned · 7 pts
🔥 Hot Form📈 Fixtures Improving⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
1.6
xPts 3
4.7
xPts 5
8.0
Rating
24
SELLMEDConfidence: LOWSELL AFTER GW4
Why we rank King here
- ▸Away vs SUN: we project FUL for 1.46 goals (our difficulty 2.9/5)
- ▸49% start probability, 46 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.16 xG90, 0.07 xA90 (shrunk to 90 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.09 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 46/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸8.0 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.5m (1.45 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at SUN
| Appearance points | 1.01 |
| Goal points | 0.42 |
| Assist points | 0.12 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.10 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.09 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.09 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.6 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | SUN (A) | 45.5 | 8% | 10% | 1.6 |
| 3 | CRY (H) | 45.5 | 9% | 13% | 1.7 |
| 4 | LIV (A) | 45.5 | 5% | 3% | 1.3 |
| 5 | MUN (H) | 45.5 | 7% | 10% | 1.6 |
| 6 | IPS (A) | 45.5 | 9% | 11% | 1.7 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
2
Ceiling (90th)
5
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)82%
Chance of 5+ points10%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.16
xA90
0.07
xGI90
0.23
BPS90
18.7
DefCon90
7.9
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
2.24
Minutes
90
Starts
1
Form
7.0
PPM
7.0
G+A vs xGI
+0.8
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CHE (H) | 90 | 1 | 0 | 0.17 | 7 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers