Sessegnon
DEFRyan Sessegnon · Fulham · £4.5m · 0.4% owned · 1 pts
📈 Fixtures Improving⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
1.7
xPts 3
4.8
xPts 5
8.2
Rating
22
SELLHIGHConfidence: LOWSELL AFTER GW4
Why we rank Sessegnon here
- ▸Away vs SUN: we project FUL for 1.46 goals (our difficulty 2.9/5)
- ▸32% start probability, 35 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.07 xG90, 0.08 xA90 (shrunk to 17 mins of data)
- ▸Clean sheet probability GW2: 7%
- ▸Bonus model: 0.06 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 56/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸8.2 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £4.5m (1.83 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at SUN
| Appearance points | 1.13 |
| Goal points | 0.18 |
| Assist points | 0.09 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.29 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.01 |
| Bonus points | 0.06 |
| Goals conceded | -0.04 |
| Cards / other | -0.02 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.7 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | SUN (A) | 34.6 | 3% | 7% | 1.7 |
| 3 | CRY (H) | 34.6 | 3% | 9% | 1.8 |
| 4 | LIV (A) | 34.6 | 2% | 2% | 1.3 |
| 5 | MUN (H) | 34.6 | 3% | 7% | 1.7 |
| 6 | IPS (A) | 34.6 | 3% | 8% | 1.7 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
1
Ceiling (90th)
4
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)85%
Chance of 5+ points10%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.07
xA90
0.08
xGI90
0.15
BPS90
17.1
DefCon90
9.5
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.16
Minutes
17
Starts
0
Form
1.0
PPM
1.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CHE (H) | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 1 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers