Reed
MIDHarrison Reed · Fulham · £4.5m · 1.5% owned · 0 pts
📈 Fixtures Improving⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
0.6
xPts 3
1.6
xPts 5
2.7
Rating
0
AVOIDHIGHConfidence: LOWSELL AFTER GW4
Why we rank Reed here
- ▸Away vs SUN: we project FUL for 1.46 goals (our difficulty 2.9/5)
- ▸14% start probability, 13 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.11 xG90, 0.14 xA90 (shrunk to 0 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.03 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 67/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸2.7 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £4.5m (0.60 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at SUN
| Appearance points | 0.38 |
| Goal points | 0.08 |
| Assist points | 0.06 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.03 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.03 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.02 |
| Predicted FPL points | 0.6 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | SUN (A) | 12.8 | 2% | 3% | 0.6 |
| 3 | CRY (H) | 12.8 | 2% | 4% | 0.6 |
| 4 | LIV (A) | 12.8 | 1% | 1% | 0.5 |
| 5 | MUN (H) | 12.8 | 1% | 3% | 0.5 |
| 6 | IPS (A) | 12.8 | 2% | 3% | 0.6 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
0
Ceiling (90th)
2
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)96%
Chance of 5+ points2%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.11
xA90
0.14
xGI90
0.24
BPS90
16.8
DefCon90
8.3
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.00
Minutes
0
Starts
0
Form
0.0
PPM
0.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CHE (H) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers