Muniz
FWDRodrigo Muniz Carvalho · Fulham · £5.5m · 0.6% owned · 1 pts
📈 Fixtures Improving⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
1.0
xPts 3
3.0
xPts 5
5.1
Rating
8
SELLHIGHConfidence: LOWSELL AFTER GW4
Why we rank Muniz here
- ▸Away vs SUN: we project FUL for 1.46 goals (our difficulty 2.9/5)
- ▸21% start probability, 22 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.31 xG90, 0.07 xA90 (shrunk to 8 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.04 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 63/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸5.1 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.5m (0.92 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at SUN
| Appearance points | 0.68 |
| Goal points | 0.31 |
| Assist points | 0.05 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.00 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.04 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.04 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.0 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | SUN (A) | 21.5 | 7% | 5% | 1.0 |
| 3 | CRY (H) | 21.5 | 8% | 6% | 1.1 |
| 4 | LIV (A) | 21.5 | 5% | 1% | 0.9 |
| 5 | MUN (H) | 21.5 | 7% | 5% | 1.0 |
| 6 | IPS (A) | 21.5 | 8% | 5% | 1.1 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
1
Ceiling (90th)
2
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)90%
Chance of 5+ points4%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.31
xA90
0.07
xGI90
0.38
BPS90
13.2
DefCon90
4.8
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.34
Minutes
8
Starts
0
Form
1.0
PPM
1.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CHE (H) | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 1 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers