Ajayi
DEFSemi Ajayi · Hull City · £4.0m · 1.5% owned · 14 pts
🔥 Hot Form🚑 Availability Risk
⚠️ Hamstring injury - 75% chance of playing
xPts GW
0.7
xPts 3
2.0
xPts 5
3.3
Rating
0
AVOIDHIGHConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Ajayi here
- ▸Away vs COV: we project HUL for 1.30 goals (our difficulty 2.8/5)
- ▸22% start probability, 15 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.14 xG90, 0.05 xA90 (shrunk to 63 mins of data)
- ▸Clean sheet probability GW2: 4%
- ▸Bonus model: 0.03 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 88/100 — Flagged: 75% chance of playing
- ▸3.3 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £4.0m (0.82 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at COV
| Appearance points | 0.42 |
| Goal points | 0.13 |
| Assist points | 0.02 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.16 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.03 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.02 |
| Predicted FPL points | 0.7 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | COV (A) | 15.1 | 2% | 4% | 0.7 |
| 3 | AVL (H) | 15.1 | 2% | 4% | 0.7 |
| 4 | CHE (A) | 15.1 | 1% | 1% | 0.6 |
| 5 | NEW (A) | 15.1 | 2% | 2% | 0.6 |
| 6 | EVE (H) | 15.1 | 2% | 3% | 0.7 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
0
Ceiling (90th)
2
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)93%
Chance of 5+ points3%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.14
xA90
0.05
xGI90
0.18
BPS90
20.5
DefCon90
7.8
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
1.23
Minutes
63
Starts
1
Form
14.0
PPM
14.0
G+A vs xGI
+0.5
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MUN (H) | 63 | 1 | 0 | 0.52 | 14 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers