
Martinez
GKPEmiliano Martínez Romero · Aston Villa · £5.0m · 4.1% owned · 0 pts
⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
1.9
xPts 3
6.2
xPts 5
10.2
Rating
34
WATCHMEDConfidence: LOWFIXTURES TURN
Why we rank Martinez here
- ▸Home vs ARS: we project AVL for 0.88 goals (our difficulty 4.1/5)
- ▸54% start probability, 43 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.00 xG90, 0.00 xA90 (shrunk to 0 mins of data)
- ▸Clean sheet probability GW2: 7%
- ▸Bonus model: 0.06 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 43/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸10.2 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.0m (2.05 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs ARS
| Appearance points | 1.10 |
| Goal points | 0.00 |
| Assist points | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.28 |
| Save points | 0.67 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.06 |
| Goals conceded | -0.13 |
| Cards / other | -0.04 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.9 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | ARS (H) | 43.3 | 0% | 7% | 1.9 |
| 3 | HUL (A) | 43.3 | 0% | 14% | 2.1 |
| 4 | NFO (H) | 43.3 | 0% | 17% | 2.1 |
| 5 | TOT (A) | 43.3 | 0% | 11% | 2.0 |
| 6 | BRE (H) | 43.3 | 0% | 14% | 2.1 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
2
Ceiling (90th)
2
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)91%
Chance of 5+ points5%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.00
xA90
0.00
xGI90
0.01
BPS90
17.1
DefCon90
0.0
Saves90
2.96
xGC90
0.00
Minutes
0
Starts
0
Form
0.0
PPM
0.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BHA (A) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers