
Coyle
DEFLewie Coyle · Hull City · £4.0m · 0.6% owned · 6 pts
🔥 Hot Form🚑 Availability Risk
⚠️ Ankle injury - 75% chance of playing
xPts GW
0.7
xPts 3
1.8
xPts 5
2.9
Rating
0
AVOIDHIGHConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Coyle here
- ▸Away vs COV: we project HUL for 1.30 goals (our difficulty 2.8/5)
- ▸22% start probability, 16 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.04 xG90, 0.05 xA90 (shrunk to 69 mins of data)
- ▸Clean sheet probability GW2: 4%
- ▸Bonus model: 0.03 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 88/100 — Flagged: 75% chance of playing
- ▸2.9 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £4.0m (0.73 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at COV
| Appearance points | 0.42 |
| Goal points | 0.04 |
| Assist points | 0.02 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.16 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.03 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.02 |
| Predicted FPL points | 0.7 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | COV (A) | 16.4 | 1% | 4% | 0.7 |
| 3 | AVL (H) | 16.4 | 1% | 4% | 0.6 |
| 4 | CHE (A) | 16.4 | 0% | 1% | 0.5 |
| 5 | NEW (A) | 16.4 | 1% | 2% | 0.5 |
| 6 | EVE (H) | 16.4 | 1% | 3% | 0.6 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
0
Ceiling (90th)
2
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)94%
Chance of 5+ points2%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.04
xA90
0.05
xGI90
0.09
BPS90
17.3
DefCon90
6.8
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
1.51
Minutes
69
Starts
1
Form
6.0
PPM
6.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MUN (H) | 69 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 6 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers