Núñez
MIDMarcelino Núñez · Ipswich Town · £5.0m · 0.1% owned · 4 pts
📈 Fixtures Improving⚠️ Rotation Risk🚩 Set Pieces
xPts GW
1.1
xPts 3
3.3
xPts 5
5.7
Rating
13
SELLMEDConfidence: LOWSHORT-TERM BUY
Why we rank Núñez here
- ▸Away vs MUN: we project IPS for 0.84 goals (our difficulty 4.4/5)
- ▸41% start probability, 33 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.10 xG90, 0.10 xA90 (shrunk to 79 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.05 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 51/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸5.7 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.0m (1.13 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at MUN
| Appearance points | 0.85 |
| Goal points | 0.11 |
| Assist points | 0.07 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.04 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.05 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.05 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.1 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | MUN (A) | 33.4 | 2% | 5% | 1.1 |
| 3 | LIV (H) | 33.4 | 2% | 4% | 1.1 |
| 4 | CRY (A) | 33.4 | 3% | 7% | 1.1 |
| 5 | EVE (A) | 33.4 | 2% | 5% | 1.1 |
| 6 | FUL (H) | 33.4 | 4% | 8% | 1.3 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
1
Ceiling (90th)
2
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)93%
Chance of 5+ points3%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.10
xA90
0.10
xGI90
0.21
BPS90
16.7
DefCon90
9.3
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.72
Minutes
79
Starts
1
Form
4.0
PPM
4.0
G+A vs xGI
-0.1
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SUN (H) | 79 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 4 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers