Konsa
DEFEzri Konsa Ngoyo · Arsenal · £4.5m · 11.2% owned · 0 pts
⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
2.3
xPts 3
6.8
xPts 5
11.5
Rating
45
HOLDMEDConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Konsa here
- ▸Away vs AVL: we project ARS for 1.97 goals (our difficulty 1.5/5)
- ▸57% start probability, 46 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.04 xG90, 0.03 xA90 (shrunk to 0 mins of data)
- ▸Clean sheet probability GW2: 22%
- ▸Bonus model: 0.09 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 41/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸11.5 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £4.5m (2.56 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at AVL
| Appearance points | 1.15 |
| Goal points | 0.17 |
| Assist points | 0.06 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.88 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.09 |
| Goals conceded | -0.04 |
| Cards / other | -0.02 |
| Predicted FPL points | 2.3 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | AVL (A) | 45.6 | 3% | 22% | 2.3 |
| 3 | CHE (H) | 45.6 | 3% | 18% | 2.1 |
| 4 | SUN (A) | 45.6 | 3% | 24% | 2.4 |
| 5 | BHA (A) | 45.6 | 2% | 19% | 2.1 |
| 6 | LEE (H) | 45.6 | 3% | 28% | 2.6 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
2
Ceiling (90th)
6
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)72%
Chance of 5+ points18%
Chance of 10+ points1%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.04
xA90
0.03
xGI90
0.07
BPS90
15.0
DefCon90
6.2
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.00
Minutes
0
Starts
0
Form
0.0
PPM
0.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | COV (H) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers