Clarke
MIDJack Clarke · Ipswich Town · £5.5m · 0.3% owned · 7 pts
🔥 Hot Form📈 Fixtures Improving⚠️ Rotation Risk🎯 Penalty Taker
xPts GW
1.4
xPts 3
4.3
xPts 5
7.3
Rating
13
SELLHIGHConfidence: LOWSHORT-TERM BUY
Why we rank Clarke here
- ▸Away vs MUN: we project IPS for 0.84 goals (our difficulty 4.4/5)
- ▸22% start probability, 29 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.22 xG90, 0.12 xA90 (shrunk to 19 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.05 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 63/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸7.3 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.5m (1.33 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at MUN
| Appearance points | 1.07 |
| Goal points | 0.22 |
| Assist points | 0.07 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.03 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.05 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.05 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.4 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | MUN (A) | 29 | 4% | 3% | 1.4 |
| 3 | LIV (H) | 29 | 5% | 2% | 1.4 |
| 4 | CRY (A) | 29 | 5% | 4% | 1.5 |
| 5 | EVE (A) | 29 | 5% | 3% | 1.4 |
| 6 | FUL (H) | 29 | 7% | 5% | 1.6 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
1
Ceiling (90th)
2
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)91%
Chance of 5+ points5%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.22
xA90
0.12
xGI90
0.35
BPS90
19.9
DefCon90
8.5
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.14
Minutes
19
Starts
0
Form
7.0
PPM
7.0
G+A vs xGI
+0.9
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SUN (H) | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0.10 | 7 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers