
Cash
DEFMatty Cash · Aston Villa · £4.5m · 8.0% owned · -1 pts
🚩 Set Pieces
xPts GW
1.6
xPts 3
6.5
xPts 5
10.7
Rating
43
WATCHLOWConfidence: LOWFIXTURES TURN
Why we rank Cash here
- ▸Home vs ARS: we project AVL for 0.88 goals (our difficulty 4.1/5)
- ▸79% start probability, 72 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.03 xG90, 0.07 xA90 (shrunk to 90 mins of data)
- ▸Clean sheet probability GW2: 10%
- ▸Bonus model: 0.07 expected bonus points
- ▸10.7 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £4.5m (2.39 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs ARS
| Appearance points | 1.55 |
| Goal points | 0.09 |
| Assist points | 0.10 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.41 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.05 |
| Bonus points | 0.07 |
| Goals conceded | -0.40 |
| Cards / other | -0.30 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.6 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | ARS (H) | 71.8 | 2% | 10% | 1.6 |
| 3 | HUL (A) | 71.8 | 2% | 21% | 2.3 |
| 4 | NFO (H) | 71.8 | 3% | 25% | 2.6 |
| 5 | TOT (A) | 71.8 | 2% | 16% | 2.0 |
| 6 | BRE (H) | 71.8 | 2% | 20% | 2.3 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
-1
Median
1
Ceiling (90th)
4
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)83%
Chance of 5+ points9%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.03
xA90
0.07
xGI90
0.10
BPS90
10.1
DefCon90
6.2
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
3.77
Minutes
90
Starts
1
Form
-1.0
PPM
-1.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BHA (A) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -1 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers