Darlow
GKPKarl Darlow · Man Utd · £4.5m · 0.0% owned · 0 pts
⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
1.6
xPts 3
4.3
xPts 5
7.3
Rating
22
SELLMEDConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Darlow here
- ▸Home vs IPS: we project MUN for 2.14 goals (our difficulty 1.3/5)
- ▸36% start probability, 29 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.00 xG90, 0.00 xA90 (shrunk to 0 mins of data)
- ▸Clean sheet probability GW2: 14%
- ▸Bonus model: 0.05 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 54/100 — Flagged: 100% chance of playing
- ▸7.3 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £4.5m (1.62 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs IPS
| Appearance points | 0.77 |
| Goal points | 0.01 |
| Assist points | 0.01 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.58 |
| Save points | 0.18 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.05 |
| Goals conceded | -0.01 |
| Cards / other | -0.03 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.6 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | IPS (H) | 29.3 | 0% | 14% | 1.6 |
| 3 | EVE (A) | 29.3 | 0% | 9% | 1.4 |
| 4 | MCI (H) | 29.3 | 0% | 7% | 1.4 |
| 5 | FUL (A) | 29.3 | 0% | 9% | 1.4 |
| 6 | TOT (H) | 29.3 | 0% | 13% | 1.5 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
1
Ceiling (90th)
4
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)84%
Chance of 5+ points7%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.00
xA90
0.00
xGI90
0.01
BPS90
15.8
DefCon90
0.0
Saves90
2.84
xGC90
0.00
Minutes
0
Starts
0
Form
0.0
PPM
0.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HUL (A) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers